Pangea-Risk

INSIGHT

Expert Insight redefining country risk forecasting. Delivered through intelligent automation.

Insight is a specialist country risk solution to forecast threats and opportunities in emerging and frontier markets.

Powered by our proprietary forecasting methodology, Insight offers market-tested country risk intelligence and ratings on a customised technology platform.

Request a demo Membership packages and pricing

Simplified country risk solutions for complex markets.

Independent and objective source of intelligence to withstand major shocks and capitalise on opportunities.

Rigorous qualitative and quantitative forecasting methodology powered by human intelligence, open source intelligence, and proprietary risk analytics.

Commercially relevant, actionable, and forward-looking forecasts with real-time updates to country risk scores.

Monitor

Monitor key country risk indicators to anticipate threats and opportunities.

Measure

Measure and compare country risk scores for 195 countries globally.

Model

Model scenarios to forecast the potential impact of country risk.

Manage

Manage country risk to build resilience and accelerate growth.

Country Outlook

Members can access centralised country risk forecasting for countries across Africa, the Middle East, and Asia. Country Outlooks spotlight our qualitative and quantitative country risk assessments, powered by Pangea-Risk's proprietary methodology. Risk peril scores are based on tracking select political, economic, and security indicators. Country Outlooks can be downloaded and incorporated into internal workflow processes, models, and reports.

Insight Briefings

Our members receive frequent and timely analysis briefings on developments in countries across Africa, the Middle East, and Asia. The daily briefings offer members a foundation for understanding the trajectory of risks and anticipating future scenarios. Our daily analysis briefings are supplemented by special reports and briefings on the risk landscape, including climate risk and maritime risk.

Risk Ratings

Our proprietary risk scoring methodology for all countries globally allows our members to assess and compare risk peril scores from the past decade. These risk perils represent the macro-political, economic, and security risk landscape for a forecasted one-year outlook. Our risk ratings are reviewed quarterly and updated frequently in real-time to capture developments in the operating environment and to ensure risk scores reflect the current conditions that drive a one-year country risk forecast.

Media Monitor

Our Media Monitor tool is an intelligence feed designed to offer members daily, real-time updates on critical news and risk incidents across Africa, the Middle East, and Asia. The tool scans reliable local media sources and international news agencies to highlight developments that impact the country risk outlook. Capturing more than 1,000 high priority risk incidents on a monthly basis, the media monitor is enhanced by local human source intelligence, sentiment analysis, and social media monitoring.

Discover Insight with a free trial

Pangea-Risk Free-To-Read Insight Briefings

Download a complimentary PDF copy of our recent analysis picks

MONTHLY INSIGHT - JANUARY 2026

Wed, 28 January 2026

At the start of the New Year, we proudly launched Insight 2026 - Pangea-Risk’s flagship annual publication that identifies opportunities for trade and investment across emerging and frontier markets in Africa, Asia, and the Middle East. We also started the year with a fresh look as we revamped our website and expanded Insight platform coverage to include Ukraine and Russia. In this Monthly Insight, we unlock Insight 2026, to help lenders, insurers, investors, and operators identify some compelling trade and investment opportunities for the coming year. You can also watch our team’s latest webinar on the prospects of a peace deal in Ukraine.

INSIGHT 2026

Mon, 19 January 2026

Insight 2026 examines where opportunity is returning across emerging and frontier markets, and why outcomes will remain uneven. Drawing on political, macroeconomic, and geopolitical analysis, the report maps the infrastructure corridors, capital flows, and managed conflict de-escalation shaping trade and investment in the year ahead. With expanded coverage across Africa, the Middle East, and Asia, Insight 2026 provides evidence-based intelligence to help lenders, insurers, investors, and operators identify durable opportunities, anticipate risk, and plan confidently in a fragmented global economy.

MONTHLY INSIGHT - DECEMBER 2025

Wed, 17 December 2025

As we approach the end of 2025, I am particularly proud of some of the milestones achieved at Pangea-Risk this year - from extending Insight platform country coverage to Asia, to expanding our Advisory bespoke consulting practice, and introducing artificial intelligence as the first step in our automated technology journey. In this Monthly Insight, we unlock a feature on this year’s primary developments for emerging & frontier markets across Africa, Asia, and the Middle East, and assess the accuracy of our key country risk forecasts. You can also watch our team’s latest webinar on Gulf trade with the Global South.

INSIGHT 2025 IN REVIEW

Wed, 10 December 2025

2025 has been defined by sharp trade disruption, rising geopolitical fragmentation, and unexpected political shocks across Africa, Asia, and the Middle East. Yet, despite persistent global uncertainty, several emerging markets strengthened their strategic importance through Gulf investment, South–South finance, and new regional systems over the course of the year. In our 2025 review, Pangea-Risk highlights where our forecasts held, where volatility exceeded expectations, and what this means for 2026.

MONTHLY INSIGHT - NOVEMBER 2025

Wed, 26 November 2025

Pangea-Risk and Standard Bank’s Energy and Infrastructure Finance team have collaborated this year to introduce a practical new framework to assess project risk for resource development in Africa. We have jointly begun developing a data-driven methodology assessing opportunities and risks in high-risk markets through sovereign, subnational, and sectoral analysis. In this Monthly Insight, we unlock a feature on Pangea-Risk’s collaboration with Standard Bank to develop a practical new framework to assess project risk for resource development in Africa. Take a look at the webinar for a summary of the key points.

REIMAGINING PROJECT & RESOURCES RISK

Thu, 13 November 2025

Pangea-Risk and Standard Bank introduce a practical new framework to assess project risk for resource development in Africa. Country risk ratings are a reliable compass for standardised risk assessments at the sovereign level. Yet, a sovereign-level score cannot distinguish a stable project enclave from a volatile hinterland, or a well-regulated industry from a nascent one. For export credit agencies, private insurers, and commercial banks, this gap translates into missed opportunities or unexpected losses, particularly in the complex African context. Pangea-Risk, in partnership with Standard Bank’s Energy and Infrastructure Finance team, have begun the development of a new Localised Opportunity and Risk Evaluation platform to turn risks into opportunities. This methodology delivers a concise and complementary lens that examines how location, sector, and resource dynamics reshape real exposure beyond the sovereign baseline.

MONTHLY INSIGHT - OCTOBER 2025

Wed, 29 October 2025

Amid intensifying geopolitical volatility, trade is no longer a neutral engine of growth but a theatre of strategic influence. States are weaponising trade corridors and logistics assets not simply to move goods, but to project power, enforce regulatory preferences, and test new models of economic sovereignty. This shift marks a decisive break from the old logic of globalisation. Supply chains are now determined as much by alignment and access to political capital as by price or efficiency. In this Monthly Insight, we unlock a special report on the weaponisation of trade in the context of emerging markets in Asia, Africa, and the Middle East. This analysis is accompanied by a new webinar on private credit opportunities across the Global South.

SPECIAL REPORT: STRATEGIC RIVALRIES AND SECURITY SHOCKS REDEFINE THE GLOBAL TRADE LANDSCAPE

Wed, 22 October 2025

Escalating strategic competition in Asia is destabilising trade routes, with security confrontations and foreign policy realignments deepening operational uncertainty. In the Middle East, maritime insecurity and rival logistics strategies are driving risks across critical shipping and energy corridors. Meanwhile, Africa’s shifting trade geography, shaped by changing external partnerships and contested regional integration, is exposing exporters to legal, regulatory, and political volatility. Together, these developments illustrate how state-driven foreign policy strategies are compounding exposure across interconnected corridors, redefining risk for insurers and commercial operators alike.

MONTHLY INSIGHT - SEPTEMBER 2025

Wed, 01 October 2025

Generation Z protests have accelerated across South and Southeast Asia, as well as parts of Africa and even Türkiye, over the past month. In September, Pangea-Risk analysis focused on both the youth dividend of fast-growing emerging markets, notably in Southeast Asia, but also the threat of youth political mobilisation. Socio-economic frustrations and political activism are driving fresh challenges to governments. The latter trend will undoubtedly impact several upcoming African elections in October. In this Monthly Insight, we unlock a special report on the threat posed by Gen Z mobilisations to political stability and commercial operations. We also publish a new recorded webinar where our analysis team discusses the interconnections between Asian, African, and the Middle East’s trade and investment flows.

SPECIAL REPORT: RISING YOUTH MOBILISATION AND THE CHALLENGE TO POLITICAL STABILITY GLOBALLY

Wed, 17 September 2025

Youth-led protests are reshaping politics and impacting economies across emerging markets, with unrest spreading from Nepal to Kenya, Indonesia, to Mongolia. Driven by inequality, corruption, and exclusion, these movements mobilise rapidly through digital platforms and resist blunt state repression. As demographic shifts intensify, recurring protest cycles are set to become structural features of politics, testing resilience and demanding forward-looking strategies from policymakers and businesses alike.

MONTHLY INSIGHT - AUGUST 2025

Thu, 28 August 2025

In August, Pangea-Risk expanded coverage of our flagship Insight platform to Southeast Asia and China, extending country risk analysis to 100 Emerging and Frontier Markets across Africa, Asia, and the Middle East. This exciting development supports our mission to foster South-South collaboration in trade and investment, while mitigating risks in these fast-growing markets. Our analysis and forecasting capabilities focus on the nexus that interconnects some of the world’s most resilient and buoyant economies. In this Monthly Insight, we unlock special reports on Southeast Asia’s demographic dividend and on the resilience of the credit and political risk insurance market amid global challenges and trade volatility.

SPECIAL REPORT: SOUTHEAST ASIAN YOUTH DRIVE GROWTH AND INNOVATION AMID STRUCTURAL CHALLENGES

Tue, 26 August 2025

Southeast Asia’s youth are both the engine and the uncertainty of its future. Their demographic weight has fuelled expanding middle classes and rising productivity, but youth unemployment and high levels of informal sector employment risk undermining this momentum. These pressures, compounded by trade disruptions, are already shaping political dynamics and investor sentiment across the region. At the same time, a generation of entrepreneurs is building fintech, blockchain, and AI solutions that anchor Southeast Asia’s technological rise. This energy should translate into sustained growth if governments and businesses can convert the potential of youth into opportunity.

Please submit your details to receive our Monthly Newsletter, including complimentary risk analysis, editorial, and infographics.

Get the Latest Analysis from Pangea-Risk

Subscribe to our Monthly Insight newsletter and receive free in-depth risk analysis on Africa, the Middle East, and Asia.